Flare M on AR4479
Taken by Sylvain Weiller on July 1, 2026 @
Jerusalem, Israel
Click photo for larger image
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Camera Used: Unavailable Unavailable Exposure Time: Unavailable Aperture: Unavailable ISO: Unavailable Date Taken: Unavailable |
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Details:
The sunspot is extraordinarily complex, yet the arch itself is elegantly simple and beautiful.
M1.3 flare — 2026-07-01, 10:08 UT
Same setup as yesterday...
===== EMPIRICAL FORECAST =====
Current UTC : 2026-07-01T10:41 UTC
Events entered : 7
Events used (<24h) : 6
Sum = 23.59
Maximum = 11.10
Last flare UTC : 2026-07-01T10:08 UTC
Time since last flare : 0.6 h
Forecast for the next 24 hours
Mode : M/X Activity
Probability of M3+ flare : 77.9%
Probability of M5+ flare : 61.0%
Probability of X flare : 54.5%
Photographer's website:
https://sweiller.free.fr
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